Expansion of the Lyme Disease Vector Ixodes scapularis in Canada Inferred from CMIP5 Climate Projections

Author:

McPherson, M, García-García, A, Cuesta-Valero, FJ, Beltrami, H, Hansen-Ketchum, P, MacDougall, D, and Ogden, NH

Publication type:

Journal Article

Publication date:

2017-05

Journal/Series title:

Environmental Health Perspectives

Volume:

125

Issue:

URL:

https://ehp.niehs.nih.gov/ehp57/

Abstract:

Our results highlight the potential for climate change to have an effect on future Lyme disease risk in Canada even if the Paris Agreement’s goal to keep global warming below 2°C is achieved, although mitigation reducing emissions from RCP8.5 levels to those of RCP6.0 or less would be expected to slow tick invasion after the 2030s.